hypothetical ?

Your on a boat any given day with a game plan set,baits rigged and ready and high hopes amongst everyone on board…
Then you hit the end of the rocks only to be met by a confused sea.You keep going because you know from experience that it usually takes 3-5 miles to see what’s really in store further out.At least that’s what your positive side keeps thinking…The conditions never improve and as you slow to consider your options you can hear the wind whistling thru the lines on the reals in the t-top…With another 50 or so miles to run to your pre-planned destination,what might you do??
Heck let’s make it 30 miles…
Any suggestions?

What is the weather forecast and what did the buoy say before you left?

Ok just to be on spot…SW 5-10kts seas 2-3 ft increasing to SW 10-15kts in the afternoon… Bouy showed 3 ft at 4 seconds 40 miles out…

Anything else on the radar or possible low pressure high winds within 100 miles? As in stuff that you wouldn’t want to be caught in?

Also, are there storms around that are upwind of your location that could explain why you are seeing more wind than you expect?

quote:
Originally posted by skinneej

Anything else on the radar or possible low pressure high winds within 100 miles? As in stuff that you wouldn’t want to be caught in?

Also, are there storms around that are upwind of your location that could explain why you are seeing more wind than you expect?


No storms,none forecast…just one of them days where I’m stoked,the crew is stoked but for some reason the forecast vs reality are not on the same page.
Before you ask boat is 24 ft Grady Gulfstream twin 200 yammy set up…

I will change game plan in a heart beat before I beat myself to pieces or get soaked- but make sure somebody on land knows the float plan before I get out of cell range.

If not going straight out, cut out of dynamite hole or in front the lighthouse if going east. Avoid the stacked up mess in the shipping channel that way…


http://www.sustainablefishing.org/

www.joinrfa.com

Luke 8:22-25

I try and hit the tide with wind. If it’s going against the tide I’ve found it’s the worst.

quote:
Originally posted by Phin

in front the lighthouse


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:smiley:

The Morris Island Lighthouse www.savethelight.org

quote:
Originally posted by Bonzo72
quote:
Originally posted by Phin

in front the lighthouse


</font id=“quote”></blockquote id=“quote”>

:smiley:

The Morris Island Lighthouse www.savethelight.org


the other lighthouse

lol


http://www.sustainablefishing.org/

www.joinrfa.com

Luke 8:22-25

quote:
Originally posted by capehorn 16
quote:
Originally posted by skinneej

Anything else on the radar or possible low pressure high winds within 100 miles? As in stuff that you wouldn’t want to be caught in?

Also, are there storms around that are upwind of your location that could explain why you are seeing more wind than you expect?


No storms,none forecast…just one of them days where I’m stoked,the crew is stoked but for some reason the forecast vs reality are not on the same page.
Before you ask boat is 24 ft Grady Gulfstream twin 200 yammy set up…


Buoy is fairly real time. In general, I will judge the conditions, but I will ask myself all of the questions that I asked you. I've fished in small craft advisories plenty and know that my boat can handle it. That being said, I wouldn't go out in a small craft because it's not worth the beating on me or the equipment. Many experienced captains can tell you what the wind speed is by the surface conditions and gust of the wind. If it's 20 knts, I am headed in... If I am already out there and it's blowing 17-20 knts, I might stick it out.

I can only remember one time where I have ever turned around, and even then, it was doable if I really, really, really wanted to go.

quote:
Originally posted by Phin
quote:
Originally posted by Bonzo72
quote:
Originally posted by Phin

in front the lighthouse


</font id=“quote”></blockquote id=“quote”>

:smiley:

The Morris Island Lighthouse www.savethelight.org


the other lighthouse

lol


</font id=“quote”></blockquote id=“quote”>

:roll_eyes:

The Morris Island Lighthouse www.savethelight.org

I have three points of forecast that I check before every trip whether I am in a 25’cc or 36’cc:

Windfinder Pro on my phone: Look at both Edisto and Frying Pan Shoals Buoy to see if there is any marked difference.

Then I pull up the models on Wunderground. Look at both wind progression and barometric progression for the day before, day of, and day after. This gives you a great idea of what will be going on where you will be fishing as well as N, S, E, and W of where you will be.

Lastly I will pull up NOAA just to make sure its consistent with the two above. Although this year it hasn’t been anywhere near the ballpark. Not super effective when you are trying to predict seas and weather from 20nm to 200nm offshore.

And sometimes, when I don’t feel completely comfortable about any of it, someone I trust will get a phone call to vet my decision making process. ie Skinnee two weekends ago.

I understand you’re asking the what if question but if you can become proficient with the above prediction tools and then understand how wind/water/waves/currents play off each other, you can have a pretty (**() good idea what you will be facing. Word of advice to people fishing Murrells or Gtown, we are often fishing en eddy off the stream that generally flows NE to SW. When the stream pushes in and you get even a mild west wind, it can make trolling in any size CC miserable.

Do not tell fish stories where the people know you; but particularly, don’t tell them where they know the fish.

  • More Maxims of Mark, Johnson, 1927

31’ Contender
“Touche”
250 HPDIs