Alright gentlemen, most of you know that I’m a GA fan so I’m curious what you guys think GA’s odds are for making the playoffs this year - with or w/out Gurley. For the record, I would guess roughly 10%.
This may come back to bite me, but my thought is that they will be favored and should win their remaining games, with the exception of Auburn - which I think will be a good game that can go either way.
Remaining schedule:
Florida
Kentucky
Auburn
Charleston Southern
GA Tech
*SEC Championship Game
Alright gentlemen, most of you know that I’m a GA fan so I’m curious what you guys think GA’s odds are for making the playoffs this year - with or w/out Gurley. For the record, I would guess roughly 10%.
This may come back to bite me, but my thought is that they will be favored and should win their remaining games, with the exception of Auburn - which I think will be a good game that can go either way.
Remaining schedule:
Florida
Kentucky
Auburn
Charleston Southern
GA Tech
*SEC Championship Game
Well, you clearly have to win out. So maybe this is a simplistic way to look at it, but I think you can just multiply the odds of winning each game to approximate it. I get:
Florida – 95%
Kentucky – 95%
Auburn – 60% (for being at home)
Charleston Southern – 100%
GA Tech – 90% (Less than Florida and Kentucky only because of the option and looking ahead to SEC championship)
SEC Championship – 40% (I don’t know who is coming out of the west, but they’re gonna be GOOD)
.95 x .95 x .6 x 1 x .9 x .4 = 19.5%
That’s honestly about what I would have guessed. I would have said call the two “big games” 50/50s, that would be a 25% chance of winning both. Then knock off about 5% for the slight chance you drop one of the other four unexpectedly.
20% is pretty darn good though honestly. I’d have to think UGA has about as good a chance as anybody except FSU, who basically plays a clown schedule the rest of the way.
